------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      name:  <unnamed>
       log:  /Users/andrea/Documents/DSM/INITIATION/resultsinidyadspoli2.log
  log type:  text
 opened on:  11 Jan 2012, 23:28:03

. 
. **con poli2
. 
. xtgee disprta exprta expwto exprta2 expwto2 gdpratio_1 xdepcom_1 countrta poli2com_1 poli2res_1 lgdppc00com_1 lsxafcom_1 exprsxaf exprgdpr gdprsxaf bandrta can mercosur d97-d08, 
> family(bin) link(probit) corr(ar1) robust force

Iteration 1: tolerance = .1027572
Iteration 2: tolerance = .00883793
Iteration 3: tolerance = .00092626
Iteration 4: tolerance = .00007887
Iteration 5: tolerance = 9.688e-06
Iteration 6: tolerance = 8.726e-07

GEE population-averaged model                   Number of obs      =      1161
Group and time vars:               cr year      Number of groups   =        90
Link:                               probit      Obs per group: min =        12
Family:                           binomial                     avg =      12.9
Correlation:                         AR(1)                     max =        13
                                                Wald chi2(29)      =    916.92
Scale parameter:                         1      Prob > chi2        =    0.0000

                                     (Std. Err. adjusted for clustering on cr)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |             Semirobust
     disprta |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
      exprta |   .0147349   .0044949     3.28   0.001     .0059251    .0235447
      expwto |   .1000592    .037182     2.69   0.007     .0271838    .1729346
     exprta2 |  -.0000215   .0000117    -1.83   0.067    -.0000444    1.48e-06
     expwto2 |  -.0022154   .0011332    -1.95   0.051    -.0044365    5.68e-06
  gdpratio_1 |   .0933301   .5711882     0.16   0.870    -1.026178    1.212838
   xdepcom_1 |   .0180328   .0077804     2.32   0.020     .0027835    .0332822
    countrta |   .2215645   .1906278     1.16   0.245    -.1520592    .5951882
  poli2com_1 |  -.0030898   .0281442    -0.11   0.913    -.0582514    .0520717
  poli2res_1 |   .0923919   .0347681     2.66   0.008     .0242477    .1605362
lgdppc00co~1 |   .2815891   .1675981     1.68   0.093    -.0468971    .6100753
  lsxafcom_1 |   .4288607   .1912636     2.24   0.025     .0539909    .8037306
    exprsxaf |   -.000064   .0001046    -0.61   0.540     -.000269    .0001409
    exprgdpr |  -.0063342   .0027271    -2.32   0.020    -.0116792   -.0009892
    gdprsxaf |  -.0165965   .0114044    -1.46   0.146    -.0389487    .0057556
     bandrta |   .0065478   .0090946     0.72   0.472    -.0112772    .0243728
         can |   2.383527   .3293261     7.24   0.000      1.73806    3.028994
    mercosur |   2.786995   .3788939     7.36   0.000     2.044377    3.529613
         d97 |  -.3785766   .2842523    -1.33   0.183    -.9357008    .1785476
         d98 |  -1.282168   .2857241    -4.49   0.000    -1.842177   -.7221592
         d99 |  -.0330747   .2844173    -0.12   0.907    -.5905223    .5243729
         d00 |  -.1064501   .2790567    -0.38   0.703    -.6533913     .440491
         d01 |   .0153426   .2179715     0.07   0.944    -.4118737    .4425589
         d02 |  -.4045803   .2984142    -1.36   0.175    -.9894614    .1803008
         d03 |  -.2682277   .2942593    -0.91   0.362    -.8449654      .30851
         d04 |  -.3285033   .3259067    -1.01   0.313    -.9672687     .310262
         d05 |  -1.097517   .3311412    -3.31   0.001    -1.746542   -.4484923
         d06 |  -1.731463   .4604081    -3.76   0.000    -2.633846   -.8290798
         d07 |  -1.855451   .4042095    -4.59   0.000    -2.647687   -1.063215
         d08 |  -1.152748   .5535179    -2.08   0.037    -2.237623   -.0678725
       _cons |  -6.922067   1.696529    -4.08   0.000     -10.2472   -3.596932
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. outreg2 using resdyads96final, ctitle(disprta) bdec(3) coefastr se append
dir : seeout

. margins, dydx (*) atmeans

Conditional marginal effects                      Number of obs   =       1161
Model VCE    : Semirobust

Expression   : Pr(disprta != 0), predict()
dy/dx w.r.t. : exprta expwto exprta2 expwto2 gdpratio_1 xdepcom_1 countrta poli2com_1 poli2res_1 lgdppc00com_1 lsxafcom_1 exprsxaf exprgdpr gdprsxaf bandrta can mercosur d97 d98
               d99 d00 d01 d02 d03 d04 d05 d06 d07 d08
at           : exprta          =    109.6822 (mean)
               expwto          =    6.263566 (mean)
               exprta2         =    22517.99 (mean)
               expwto2         =    114.4496 (mean)
               gdpratio_1      =    .4986422 (mean)
               xdepcom_1       =    .7099461 (mean)
               countrta        =    .1886305 (mean)
               poli2com_1      =    7.689922 (mean)
               poli2res_1      =    7.665805 (mean)
               lgdppc00co~1    =    7.994688 (mean)
               lsxafcom_1      =    3.364125 (mean)
               exprsxaf        =    4465.793 (mean)
               exprgdpr        =    68.48227 (mean)
               gdprsxaf        =    17.02289 (mean)
               bandrta         =    7.800172 (mean)
               can             =    .2101637 (mean)
               mercosur        =    .1343669 (mean)
               d97             =    .0775194 (mean)
               d98             =    .0775194 (mean)
               d99             =    .0775194 (mean)
               d00             =    .0775194 (mean)
               d01             =    .0775194 (mean)
               d02             =    .0775194 (mean)
               d03             =    .0775194 (mean)
               d04             =    .0775194 (mean)
               d05             =    .0775194 (mean)
               d06             =    .0775194 (mean)
               d07             =    .0775194 (mean)
               d08             =    .0697674 (mean)

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Delta-method
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
      exprta |   .0014532   .0005282     2.75   0.006      .000418    .0024884
      expwto |   .0098683   .0041436     2.38   0.017      .001747    .0179896
     exprta2 |  -2.12e-06   1.28e-06    -1.65   0.098    -4.62e-06    3.91e-07
     expwto2 |  -.0002185   .0001148    -1.90   0.057    -.0004434    6.46e-06
  gdpratio_1 |   .0092047    .056111     0.16   0.870     -.100771    .1191803
   xdepcom_1 |   .0017785   .0007148     2.49   0.013     .0003775    .0031795
    countrta |   .0218517   .0208576     1.05   0.295    -.0190284    .0627319
  poli2com_1 |  -.0003047   .0027834    -0.11   0.913    -.0057601    .0051506
  poli2res_1 |   .0091121   .0045698     1.99   0.046     .0001555    .0180687
lgdppc00co~1 |   .0277716   .0160158     1.73   0.083    -.0036187     .059162
  lsxafcom_1 |   .0422963   .0189945     2.23   0.026     .0050677    .0795248
    exprsxaf |  -6.32e-06   .0000102    -0.62   0.536    -.0000263    .0000137
    exprgdpr |  -.0006247   .0002972    -2.10   0.036    -.0012072   -.0000422
    gdprsxaf |  -.0016368   .0011696    -1.40   0.162    -.0039292    .0006555
     bandrta |   .0006458   .0008587     0.75   0.452    -.0010372    .0023288
         can |   .2350746   .0426143     5.52   0.000     .1515521     .318597
    mercosur |   .2748665   .0524987     5.24   0.000     .1719709    .3777621
         d97 |   -.037337   .0281948    -1.32   0.185    -.0925978    .0179238
         d98 |  -.1264534   .0362879    -3.48   0.000    -.1975763   -.0553305
         d99 |   -.003262   .0280437    -0.12   0.907    -.0582266    .0517026
         d00 |  -.0104986   .0273804    -0.38   0.701    -.0641631    .0431659
         d01 |   .0015132   .0213955     0.07   0.944    -.0404213    .0434477
         d02 |  -.0399016   .0310089    -1.29   0.198    -.1006779    .0208747
         d03 |  -.0264539   .0303321    -0.87   0.383    -.0859038     .032996
         d04 |  -.0323985    .033947    -0.95   0.340    -.0989335    .0341364
         d05 |  -.1082423   .0416806    -2.60   0.009    -.1899348   -.0265498
         d06 |   -.170765   .0557395    -3.06   0.002    -.2800124   -.0615176
         d07 |  -.1829933   .0460423    -3.97   0.000    -.2732346    -.092752
         d08 |  -.1136894   .0513676    -2.21   0.027     -.214368   -.0130107
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. xtprobit disprta exprta expwto exprta2 expwto2 gdpratio_1 xdepcom_1 countrta poli2com_1 poli2res_1 lgdppc00com_1 lsxafcom_1 exprsxaf exprgdpr gdprsxaf bandrta can mercosur d97-d0
> 8, pa corr(ar1) robust force

Iteration 1: tolerance = .1027572
Iteration 2: tolerance = .00883793
Iteration 3: tolerance = .00092626
Iteration 4: tolerance = .00007887
Iteration 5: tolerance = 9.688e-06
Iteration 6: tolerance = 8.726e-07

GEE population-averaged model                   Number of obs      =      1161
Group and time vars:               cr year      Number of groups   =        90
Link:                               probit      Obs per group: min =        12
Family:                           binomial                     avg =      12.9
Correlation:                         AR(1)                     max =        13
                                                Wald chi2(29)      =    916.92
Scale parameter:                         1      Prob > chi2        =    0.0000

                                     (Std. Err. adjusted for clustering on cr)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |             Semirobust
     disprta |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
      exprta |   .0147349   .0044949     3.28   0.001     .0059251    .0235447
      expwto |   .1000592    .037182     2.69   0.007     .0271838    .1729346
     exprta2 |  -.0000215   .0000117    -1.83   0.067    -.0000444    1.48e-06
     expwto2 |  -.0022154   .0011332    -1.95   0.051    -.0044365    5.68e-06
  gdpratio_1 |   .0933301   .5711882     0.16   0.870    -1.026178    1.212838
   xdepcom_1 |   .0180328   .0077804     2.32   0.020     .0027835    .0332822
    countrta |   .2215645   .1906278     1.16   0.245    -.1520592    .5951882
  poli2com_1 |  -.0030898   .0281442    -0.11   0.913    -.0582514    .0520717
  poli2res_1 |   .0923919   .0347681     2.66   0.008     .0242477    .1605362
lgdppc00co~1 |   .2815891   .1675981     1.68   0.093    -.0468971    .6100753
  lsxafcom_1 |   .4288607   .1912636     2.24   0.025     .0539909    .8037306
    exprsxaf |   -.000064   .0001046    -0.61   0.540     -.000269    .0001409
    exprgdpr |  -.0063342   .0027271    -2.32   0.020    -.0116792   -.0009892
    gdprsxaf |  -.0165965   .0114044    -1.46   0.146    -.0389487    .0057556
     bandrta |   .0065478   .0090946     0.72   0.472    -.0112772    .0243728
         can |   2.383527   .3293261     7.24   0.000      1.73806    3.028994
    mercosur |   2.786995   .3788939     7.36   0.000     2.044377    3.529613
         d97 |  -.3785766   .2842523    -1.33   0.183    -.9357008    .1785476
         d98 |  -1.282168   .2857241    -4.49   0.000    -1.842177   -.7221592
         d99 |  -.0330747   .2844173    -0.12   0.907    -.5905223    .5243729
         d00 |  -.1064501   .2790567    -0.38   0.703    -.6533913     .440491
         d01 |   .0153426   .2179715     0.07   0.944    -.4118737    .4425589
         d02 |  -.4045803   .2984142    -1.36   0.175    -.9894614    .1803008
         d03 |  -.2682277   .2942593    -0.91   0.362    -.8449654      .30851
         d04 |  -.3285033   .3259067    -1.01   0.313    -.9672687     .310262
         d05 |  -1.097517   .3311412    -3.31   0.001    -1.746542   -.4484923
         d06 |  -1.731463   .4604081    -3.76   0.000    -2.633846   -.8290798
         d07 |  -1.855451   .4042095    -4.59   0.000    -2.647687   -1.063215
         d08 |  -1.152748   .5535179    -2.08   0.037    -2.237623   -.0678725
       _cons |  -6.922067   1.696529    -4.08   0.000     -10.2472   -3.596932
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. outreg2 using resdyads96final, ctitle(disprta) bdec(3) coefastr se append
dir : seeout

. xtprobit disprta exprta expwto exprta2 expwto2 gdpratio_1 xdepcom_1 countrta poli2com_1 poli2res_1 lgdppc00com_1 lsxafcom_1 exprsxaf exprgdpr gdprsxaf bandrta can mercosur d97-d0
> 8, re

Fitting comparison model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -557.79004  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -280.79273  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -254.68999  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -253.55841  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -253.55682  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -253.55682  

Fitting full model:

rho =  0.0     log likelihood = -253.55682
rho =  0.1     log likelihood = -253.14287
rho =  0.2     log likelihood =  -255.7618

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -253.14287  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -252.32174  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -252.31868  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -252.31868  

Random-effects probit regression                Number of obs      =      1161
Group variable: cr                              Number of groups   =        90

Random effects u_i ~ Gaussian                   Obs per group: min =        12
                                                               avg =      12.9
                                                               max =        13

                                                Wald chi2(29)      =    201.40
Log likelihood  = -252.31868                    Prob > chi2        =    0.0000

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
     disprta |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
      exprta |   .0142835   .0049777     2.87   0.004     .0045274    .0240396
      expwto |   .1037722   .0411974     2.52   0.012     .0230267    .1845177
     exprta2 |  -.0000199   9.32e-06    -2.14   0.032    -.0000382   -1.68e-06
     expwto2 |  -.0024581   .0012862    -1.91   0.056     -.004979    .0000629
  gdpratio_1 |  -.0126637   .7286994    -0.02   0.986    -1.440888    1.415561
   xdepcom_1 |   .0176761   .0174898     1.01   0.312    -.0166033    .0519556
    countrta |   .2742927   .1727812     1.59   0.112    -.0643523    .6129377
  poli2com_1 |   .0107568   .0420127     0.26   0.798    -.0715865    .0931001
  poli2res_1 |   .0914999   .0418381     2.19   0.029     .0094988     .173501
lgdppc00co~1 |    .293396   .2030552     1.44   0.148    -.1045848    .6913769
  lsxafcom_1 |    .443035   .1776801     2.49   0.013     .0947884    .7912815
    exprsxaf |  -.0000775    .000075    -1.03   0.301    -.0002245    .0000695
    exprgdpr |  -.0060667   .0040221    -1.51   0.131    -.0139499    .0018164
    gdprsxaf |  -.0132542    .014376    -0.92   0.357    -.0414307    .0149224
     bandrta |   .0070671   .0103227     0.68   0.494     -.013165    .0272992
         can |   2.508288    .293029     8.56   0.000     1.933962    3.082614
    mercosur |   2.956341   .3200636     9.24   0.000     2.329027    3.583654
         d97 |  -.4018949   .3359787    -1.20   0.232    -1.060401    .2566114
         d98 |  -1.345827   .3920537    -3.43   0.001    -2.114238   -.5774161
         d99 |  -.0147169   .3268896    -0.05   0.964    -.6554088     .625975
         d00 |  -.0870025   .3391069    -0.26   0.798    -.7516398    .5776348
         d01 |   .0686601   .3514352     0.20   0.845    -.6201402    .7574605
         d02 |  -.3938581   .3594219    -1.10   0.273    -1.098312     .310596
         d03 |  -.2258594    .371766    -0.61   0.543    -.9545074    .5027887
         d04 |     -.2885   .3790091    -0.76   0.447    -1.031344    .4543442
         d05 |  -1.093574   .4039315    -2.71   0.007    -1.885265   -.3018827
         d06 |  -1.751733   .4447883    -3.94   0.000    -2.623502   -.8799638
         d07 |  -1.903588   .4826072    -3.94   0.000     -2.84948   -.9576949
         d08 |  -1.136049   .4337852    -2.62   0.009    -1.986253   -.2858458
       _cons |  -7.270575   1.971619    -3.69   0.000    -11.13488   -3.406273
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
    /lnsig2u |  -2.275516   .8493659                     -3.940242   -.6107891
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
     sigma_u |   .3205369   .1361266                        .13944    .7368326
         rho |   .0931712   .0717632                      .0190727    .3518792
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Likelihood-ratio test of rho=0: chibar2(01) =     2.48 Prob >= chibar2 = 0.058

. outreg2 using resdyads96final, ctitle(disprta) bdec(3) coefastr se append
dir : seeout

. 
. xtgee disprta exprtacom expwtocom exprtacom2 expwtocom2 gdpratio_1 xdepcom_1 countrta poli2com_1 poli2res_1 lgdppc00com_1 lsxafcom_1 exprsxaf exprgdpr gdprsxaf bandrta can mercos
> ur d97-d08, family(bin) link(probit) corr(ar1) robust force

Iteration 1: tolerance = .09822244
Iteration 2: tolerance = .00845358
Iteration 3: tolerance = .00136516
Iteration 4: tolerance = .00011252
Iteration 5: tolerance = .00001761
Iteration 6: tolerance = 5.041e-06
Iteration 7: tolerance = 1.427e-06
Iteration 8: tolerance = 4.123e-07

GEE population-averaged model                   Number of obs      =      1161
Group and time vars:               cr year      Number of groups   =        90
Link:                               probit      Obs per group: min =        12
Family:                           binomial                     avg =      12.9
Correlation:                         AR(1)                     max =        13
                                                Wald chi2(29)      =    852.90
Scale parameter:                         1      Prob > chi2        =    0.0000

                                     (Std. Err. adjusted for clustering on cr)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |             Semirobust
     disprta |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
   exprtacom |   .0185046   .0092669     2.00   0.046     .0003418    .0366674
   expwtocom |   .2111541    .074998     2.82   0.005     .0641608    .3581474
  exprtacom2 |  -.0000788   .0000228    -3.45   0.001    -.0001235    -.000034
  expwtocom2 |  -.0100463   .0037159    -2.70   0.007    -.0173293   -.0027632
  gdpratio_1 |  -.1578678   .5784019    -0.27   0.785    -1.291515    .9757791
   xdepcom_1 |   .0163765   .0076229     2.15   0.032     .0014359    .0313171
    countrta |    .273822   .1813549     1.51   0.131    -.0816271     .629271
  poli2com_1 |  -.0016039   .0321126    -0.05   0.960    -.0645433    .0613356
  poli2res_1 |   .0891244   .0339495     2.63   0.009     .0225846    .1556641
lgdppc00co~1 |   .2997646   .1863594     1.61   0.108     -.065493    .6650223
  lsxafcom_1 |   .3144982   .1870177     1.68   0.093    -.0520498    .6810462
    exprsxaf |  -1.03e-06   .0000811    -0.01   0.990    -.0001599    .0001579
    exprgdpr |  -.0020441   .0025137    -0.81   0.416    -.0069709    .0028827
    gdprsxaf |  -.0169933   .0135358    -1.26   0.209    -.0435229    .0095363
     bandrta |    .009111   .0090981     1.00   0.317    -.0087209    .0269429
         can |   2.500374   .3253794     7.68   0.000     1.862642    3.138106
    mercosur |   2.679238   .3520547     7.61   0.000     1.989223    3.369252
         d97 |  -.3564323   .2797379    -1.27   0.203    -.9047085    .1918439
         d98 |  -1.238357    .273305    -4.53   0.000    -1.774025    -.702689
         d99 |   .0349166   .2690712     0.13   0.897    -.4924532    .5622864
         d00 |  -.0018077   .2865489    -0.01   0.995    -.5634333    .5598179
         d01 |   .1383213   .2114367     0.65   0.513     -.276087    .5527296
         d02 |  -.3129298   .2998694    -1.04   0.297     -.900663    .2748034
         d03 |  -.1158369    .253909    -0.46   0.648    -.6134895    .3818156
         d04 |  -.1496477   .3133238    -0.48   0.633     -.763751    .4644557
         d05 |  -.8864784   .3271021    -2.71   0.007    -1.527587   -.2453701
         d06 |    -1.5128   .4018635    -3.76   0.000    -2.300438   -.7251623
         d07 |  -1.617315   .3542583    -4.57   0.000    -2.311649   -.9229815
         d08 |  -.9501069   .4968672    -1.91   0.056    -1.923949     .023735
       _cons |  -6.550967   1.879222    -3.49   0.000    -10.23417    -2.86776
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. outreg2 using resdyads96final, ctitle(disprta) bdec(3) coefastr se append
dir : seeout

. margins, dydx (*) atmeans

Conditional marginal effects                      Number of obs   =       1161
Model VCE    : Semirobust

Expression   : Pr(disprta != 0), predict()
dy/dx w.r.t. : exprtacom expwtocom exprtacom2 expwtocom2 gdpratio_1 xdepcom_1 countrta poli2com_1 poli2res_1 lgdppc00com_1 lsxafcom_1 exprsxaf exprgdpr gdprsxaf bandrta can
               mercosur d97 d98 d99 d00 d01 d02 d03 d04 d05 d06 d07 d08
at           : exprtacom       =    46.27132 (mean)
               expwtocom       =    3.069767 (mean)
               exprtacom2      =    5487.806 (mean)
               expwtocom2      =    31.82946 (mean)
               gdpratio_1      =    .4986422 (mean)
               xdepcom_1       =    .7099461 (mean)
               countrta        =    .1886305 (mean)
               poli2com_1      =    7.689922 (mean)
               poli2res_1      =    7.665805 (mean)
               lgdppc00co~1    =    7.994688 (mean)
               lsxafcom_1      =    3.364125 (mean)
               exprsxaf        =    4465.793 (mean)
               exprgdpr        =    68.48227 (mean)
               gdprsxaf        =    17.02289 (mean)
               bandrta         =    7.800172 (mean)
               can             =    .2101637 (mean)
               mercosur        =    .1343669 (mean)
               d97             =    .0775194 (mean)
               d98             =    .0775194 (mean)
               d99             =    .0775194 (mean)
               d00             =    .0775194 (mean)
               d01             =    .0775194 (mean)
               d02             =    .0775194 (mean)
               d03             =    .0775194 (mean)
               d04             =    .0775194 (mean)
               d05             =    .0775194 (mean)
               d06             =    .0775194 (mean)
               d07             =    .0775194 (mean)
               d08             =    .0697674 (mean)

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Delta-method
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
   exprtacom |   .0017439   .0009862     1.77   0.077    -.0001891    .0036769
   expwtocom |   .0198995   .0089659     2.22   0.026     .0023265    .0374724
  exprtacom2 |  -7.42e-06   2.80e-06    -2.65   0.008    -.0000129   -1.94e-06
  expwtocom2 |  -.0009468   .0004402    -2.15   0.032    -.0018096    -.000084
  gdpratio_1 |  -.0148777    .055263    -0.27   0.788    -.1231911    .0934357
   xdepcom_1 |   .0015433   .0006594     2.34   0.019     .0002509    .0028358
    countrta |   .0258054    .019502     1.32   0.186    -.0124178    .0640286
  poli2com_1 |  -.0001512   .0030272    -0.05   0.960    -.0060843     .005782
  poli2res_1 |   .0083992   .0043602     1.93   0.054    -.0001465     .016945
lgdppc00co~1 |   .0282503   .0167413     1.69   0.092     -.004562    .0610626
  lsxafcom_1 |   .0296388   .0171424     1.73   0.084    -.0039597    .0632372
    exprsxaf |  -9.71e-08   7.64e-06    -0.01   0.990    -.0000151    .0000149
    exprgdpr |  -.0001926   .0002422    -0.80   0.426    -.0006673     .000282
    gdprsxaf |  -.0016015   .0012949    -1.24   0.216    -.0041395    .0009366
     bandrta |   .0008586   .0007824     1.10   0.272    -.0006748     .002392
         can |   .2356389   .0413511     5.70   0.000     .1545923    .3166854
    mercosur |   .2524953   .0515342     4.90   0.000     .1514901    .3535004
         d97 |  -.0335907   .0267264    -1.26   0.209    -.0859734     .018792
         d98 |  -.1167046   .0349803    -3.34   0.001    -.1852648   -.0481444
         d99 |   .0032906   .0253878     0.13   0.897    -.0464685    .0530497
         d00 |  -.0001704   .0270022    -0.01   0.995    -.0530936    .0527529
         d01 |   .0130356   .0188814     0.69   0.490    -.0239712    .0500424
         d02 |   -.029491   .0295791    -1.00   0.319    -.0874649     .028483
         d03 |  -.0109166   .0245615    -0.44   0.657    -.0590563     .037223
         d04 |   -.014103   .0302925    -0.47   0.642    -.0734752    .0452692
         d05 |   -.083543   .0380761    -2.19   0.028    -.1581708   -.0089153
         d06 |  -.1425685   .0492702    -2.89   0.004    -.2391363   -.0460007
         d07 |  -.1524181   .0414369    -3.68   0.000    -.2336329   -.0712034
         d08 |  -.0895395   .0456696    -1.96   0.050    -.1790502   -.0000288
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. xtprobit disprta exprtacom expwtocom exprtacom2 expwtocom2 gdpratio_1 xdepcom_1 countrta poli2com_1 poli2res_1 lgdppc00com_1 lsxafcom_1 exprsxaf exprgdpr gdprsxaf bandrta can mer
> cosur d97-d08, pa corr(ar1) robust force

Iteration 1: tolerance = .09822244
Iteration 2: tolerance = .00845358
Iteration 3: tolerance = .00136516
Iteration 4: tolerance = .00011252
Iteration 5: tolerance = .00001761
Iteration 6: tolerance = 5.041e-06
Iteration 7: tolerance = 1.427e-06
Iteration 8: tolerance = 4.123e-07

GEE population-averaged model                   Number of obs      =      1161
Group and time vars:               cr year      Number of groups   =        90
Link:                               probit      Obs per group: min =        12
Family:                           binomial                     avg =      12.9
Correlation:                         AR(1)                     max =        13
                                                Wald chi2(29)      =    852.90
Scale parameter:                         1      Prob > chi2        =    0.0000

                                     (Std. Err. adjusted for clustering on cr)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |             Semirobust
     disprta |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
   exprtacom |   .0185046   .0092669     2.00   0.046     .0003418    .0366674
   expwtocom |   .2111541    .074998     2.82   0.005     .0641608    .3581474
  exprtacom2 |  -.0000788   .0000228    -3.45   0.001    -.0001235    -.000034
  expwtocom2 |  -.0100463   .0037159    -2.70   0.007    -.0173293   -.0027632
  gdpratio_1 |  -.1578678   .5784019    -0.27   0.785    -1.291515    .9757791
   xdepcom_1 |   .0163765   .0076229     2.15   0.032     .0014359    .0313171
    countrta |    .273822   .1813549     1.51   0.131    -.0816271     .629271
  poli2com_1 |  -.0016039   .0321126    -0.05   0.960    -.0645433    .0613356
  poli2res_1 |   .0891244   .0339495     2.63   0.009     .0225846    .1556641
lgdppc00co~1 |   .2997646   .1863594     1.61   0.108     -.065493    .6650223
  lsxafcom_1 |   .3144982   .1870177     1.68   0.093    -.0520498    .6810462
    exprsxaf |  -1.03e-06   .0000811    -0.01   0.990    -.0001599    .0001579
    exprgdpr |  -.0020441   .0025137    -0.81   0.416    -.0069709    .0028827
    gdprsxaf |  -.0169933   .0135358    -1.26   0.209    -.0435229    .0095363
     bandrta |    .009111   .0090981     1.00   0.317    -.0087209    .0269429
         can |   2.500374   .3253794     7.68   0.000     1.862642    3.138106
    mercosur |   2.679238   .3520547     7.61   0.000     1.989223    3.369252
         d97 |  -.3564323   .2797379    -1.27   0.203    -.9047085    .1918439
         d98 |  -1.238357    .273305    -4.53   0.000    -1.774025    -.702689
         d99 |   .0349166   .2690712     0.13   0.897    -.4924532    .5622864
         d00 |  -.0018077   .2865489    -0.01   0.995    -.5634333    .5598179
         d01 |   .1383213   .2114367     0.65   0.513     -.276087    .5527296
         d02 |  -.3129298   .2998694    -1.04   0.297     -.900663    .2748034
         d03 |  -.1158369    .253909    -0.46   0.648    -.6134895    .3818156
         d04 |  -.1496477   .3133238    -0.48   0.633     -.763751    .4644557
         d05 |  -.8864784   .3271021    -2.71   0.007    -1.527587   -.2453701
         d06 |    -1.5128   .4018635    -3.76   0.000    -2.300438   -.7251623
         d07 |  -1.617315   .3542583    -4.57   0.000    -2.311649   -.9229815
         d08 |  -.9501069   .4968672    -1.91   0.056    -1.923949     .023735
       _cons |  -6.550967   1.879222    -3.49   0.000    -10.23417    -2.86776
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. outreg2 using resdyads96final, ctitle(disprta) bdec(3) coefastr se append
dir : seeout

. xtprobit disprta exprtacom expwtocom exprtacom2 expwtocom2 gdpratio_1 xdepcom_1 countrta poli2com_1 poli2res_1 lgdppc00com_1 lsxafcom_1 exprsxaf exprgdpr gdprsxaf bandrta can mer
> cosur d97-d08, re

Fitting comparison model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -557.79004  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood =  -283.2173  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -256.77739  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -255.43833  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -255.43512  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -255.43512  

Fitting full model:

rho =  0.0     log likelihood = -255.43512
rho =  0.1     log likelihood = -255.12293
rho =  0.2     log likelihood = -257.79456

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -255.12293  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -254.13994  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -254.12969  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -254.12962  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -254.12962  

Random-effects probit regression                Number of obs      =      1161
Group variable: cr                              Number of groups   =        90

Random effects u_i ~ Gaussian                   Obs per group: min =        12
                                                               avg =      12.9
                                                               max =        13

                                                Wald chi2(29)      =    198.23
Log likelihood  = -254.12962                    Prob > chi2        =    0.0000

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
     disprta |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
   exprtacom |   .0162142   .0092376     1.76   0.079    -.0018912    .0343195
   expwtocom |   .2004874   .0692208     2.90   0.004     .0648171    .3361578
  exprtacom2 |  -.0000712   .0000276    -2.57   0.010    -.0001253    -.000017
  expwtocom2 |  -.0101829   .0034879    -2.92   0.004    -.0170191   -.0033468
  gdpratio_1 |  -.2341774   .7249929    -0.32   0.747    -1.655137    1.186783
   xdepcom_1 |   .0158213   .0193866     0.82   0.414    -.0221758    .0538183
    countrta |    .325957   .1711127     1.90   0.057    -.0094176    .6613317
  poli2com_1 |   .0137862   .0427548     0.32   0.747    -.0700116     .097584
  poli2res_1 |   .0883732   .0417706     2.12   0.034     .0065044     .170242
lgdppc00co~1 |   .3172126   .2057647     1.54   0.123    -.0860788    .7205039
  lsxafcom_1 |   .3320626   .1823737     1.82   0.069    -.0253833    .6895084
    exprsxaf |  -.0000114   .0000699    -0.16   0.871    -.0001484    .0001256
    exprgdpr |  -.0012629   .0028727    -0.44   0.660    -.0068933    .0043676
    gdprsxaf |  -.0141657   .0143633    -0.99   0.324    -.0423173    .0139859
     bandrta |   .0100543   .0100083     1.00   0.315    -.0095617    .0296703
         can |   2.603847   .2985302     8.72   0.000     2.018739    3.188956
    mercosur |   2.876388   .3302726     8.71   0.000     2.229066    3.523711
         d97 |  -.3720467   .3315122    -1.12   0.262    -1.021799    .2777052
         d98 |  -1.295457   .3850338    -3.36   0.001    -2.050109   -.5408048
         d99 |   .0652919   .3224089     0.20   0.840    -.5666179    .6972016
         d00 |   .0290738   .3329601     0.09   0.930     -.623516    .6816636
         d01 |     .21712   .3470191     0.63   0.532    -.4630249    .8972649
         d02 |  -.2738529   .3550363    -0.77   0.441    -.9697113    .4220055
         d03 |  -.0364586   .3638446    -0.10   0.920    -.7495808    .6766637
         d04 |  -.0751967   .3711552    -0.20   0.839    -.8026475     .652254
         d05 |  -.8546642   .3907385    -2.19   0.029    -1.620498   -.0888308
         d06 |  -1.499488   .4263995    -3.52   0.000    -2.335216   -.6637608
         d07 |  -1.613931   .4571285    -3.53   0.000    -2.509886   -.7179757
         d08 |  -.8845043   .4119286    -2.15   0.032     -1.69187    -.077139
       _cons |  -6.968589   2.012704    -3.46   0.001    -10.91342   -3.023761
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
    /lnsig2u |  -2.161763   .8501335                     -3.827994   -.4955315
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
     sigma_u |   .3392964   .1442236                      .1474897    .7805428
         rho |   .1032372   .0787047                      .0212901    .3785914
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Likelihood-ratio test of rho=0: chibar2(01) =     2.61 Prob >= chibar2 = 0.053

. outreg2 using resdyads96final, ctitle(disprta) bdec(3) coefastr se append
dir : seeout

. 
. xtgee disprta exprtadef expwtodef exprtadef2 expwtodef2 gdpratio_1 xdepcom_1 countrta poli2com_1 poli2res_1 lgdppc00com_1 lsxafcom_1 exprsxaf exprgdpr gdprsxaf bandrta can mercos
> ur d97-d08, family(bin) link(probit) corr(ar1) robust force

Iteration 1: tolerance = .1105947
Iteration 2: tolerance = .00570215
Iteration 3: tolerance = .00147279
Iteration 4: tolerance = .00024921
Iteration 5: tolerance = .00006739
Iteration 6: tolerance = .00001982
Iteration 7: tolerance = 5.629e-06
Iteration 8: tolerance = 1.627e-06
Iteration 9: tolerance = 4.668e-07

GEE population-averaged model                   Number of obs      =      1161
Group and time vars:               cr year      Number of groups   =        90
Link:                               probit      Obs per group: min =        12
Family:                           binomial                     avg =      12.9
Correlation:                         AR(1)                     max =        13
                                                Wald chi2(29)      =    857.78
Scale parameter:                         1      Prob > chi2        =    0.0000

                                     (Std. Err. adjusted for clustering on cr)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |             Semirobust
     disprta |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
   exprtadef |     .01628   .0078857     2.06   0.039     .0008244    .0317356
   expwtodef |   .0977197   .0701442     1.39   0.164    -.0397604    .2351999
  exprtadef2 |  -.0000468   .0000425    -1.10   0.271    -.0001302    .0000365
  expwtodef2 |  -.0028319   .0057007    -0.50   0.619    -.0140051    .0083413
  gdpratio_1 |   .4383563   .5545915     0.79   0.429    -.6486232    1.525336
   xdepcom_1 |   .0167892   .0073886     2.27   0.023     .0023078    .0312706
    countrta |   .2491995   .1816426     1.37   0.170    -.1068136    .6052125
  poli2com_1 |  -.0197977   .0293612    -0.67   0.500    -.0773445    .0377492
  poli2res_1 |   .0851674   .0326103     2.61   0.009     .0212524    .1490824
lgdppc00co~1 |   .3343431   .1645304     2.03   0.042     .0118694    .6568167
  lsxafcom_1 |   .4937617    .168937     2.92   0.003     .1626512    .8248723
    exprsxaf |  -.0000267   .0000503    -0.53   0.595    -.0001254    .0000719
    exprgdpr |  -.0046465   .0029659    -1.57   0.117    -.0104595    .0011664
    gdprsxaf |  -.0214836   .0124664    -1.72   0.085    -.0459173    .0029501
     bandrta |   .0089066   .0082149     1.08   0.278    -.0071943    .0250074
         can |   2.245273   .3073884     7.30   0.000     1.642802    2.847743
    mercosur |    2.75152   .3405376     8.08   0.000     2.084079    3.418962
         d97 |  -.3205559   .2721652    -1.18   0.239    -.8539899     .212878
         d98 |  -1.151188   .2703322    -4.26   0.000     -1.68103   -.6213469
         d99 |   .0398994    .259043     0.15   0.878    -.4678154    .5476143
         d00 |  -.0371294   .2735336    -0.14   0.892    -.5732455    .4989866
         d01 |   .1203088   .2097772     0.57   0.566     -.290847    .5314645
         d02 |  -.2351691   .2918766    -0.81   0.420    -.8072367    .3368986
         d03 |  -.1054244   .2645071    -0.40   0.690    -.6238489    .4130001
         d04 |  -.1623872   .3041429    -0.53   0.593    -.7584964    .4337219
         d05 |  -.8919283   .3015159    -2.96   0.003    -1.482889   -.3009681
         d06 |  -1.460434   .4300445    -3.40   0.001    -2.303306   -.6175625
         d07 |  -1.527076   .3952828    -3.86   0.000    -2.301816   -.7523358
         d08 |  -.7924229    .517054    -1.53   0.125     -1.80583    .2209843
       _cons |  -7.306585   1.647451    -4.44   0.000    -10.53553   -4.077641
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. outreg2 using resdyads96final, ctitle(disprta) bdec(3) coefastr se append
dir : seeout

. margins, dydx (*) atmeans

Conditional marginal effects                      Number of obs   =       1161
Model VCE    : Semirobust

Expression   : Pr(disprta != 0), predict()
dy/dx w.r.t. : exprtadef expwtodef exprtadef2 expwtodef2 gdpratio_1 xdepcom_1 countrta poli2com_1 poli2res_1 lgdppc00com_1 lsxafcom_1 exprsxaf exprgdpr gdprsxaf bandrta can
               mercosur d97 d98 d99 d00 d01 d02 d03 d04 d05 d06 d07 d08
at           : exprtadef       =    63.41085 (mean)
               expwtodef       =    3.193798 (mean)
               exprtadef2      =    6597.705 (mean)
               expwtodef2      =     29.2093 (mean)
               gdpratio_1      =    .4986422 (mean)
               xdepcom_1       =    .7099461 (mean)
               countrta        =    .1886305 (mean)
               poli2com_1      =    7.689922 (mean)
               poli2res_1      =    7.665805 (mean)
               lgdppc00co~1    =    7.994688 (mean)
               lsxafcom_1      =    3.364125 (mean)
               exprsxaf        =    4465.793 (mean)
               exprgdpr        =    68.48227 (mean)
               gdprsxaf        =    17.02289 (mean)
               bandrta         =    7.800172 (mean)
               can             =    .2101637 (mean)
               mercosur        =    .1343669 (mean)
               d97             =    .0775194 (mean)
               d98             =    .0775194 (mean)
               d99             =    .0775194 (mean)
               d00             =    .0775194 (mean)
               d01             =    .0775194 (mean)
               d02             =    .0775194 (mean)
               d03             =    .0775194 (mean)
               d04             =    .0775194 (mean)
               d05             =    .0775194 (mean)
               d06             =    .0775194 (mean)
               d07             =    .0775194 (mean)
               d08             =    .0697674 (mean)

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Delta-method
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
   exprtadef |   .0017106   .0009637     1.78   0.076    -.0001782    .0035994
   expwtodef |   .0102679   .0068296     1.50   0.133    -.0031178    .0236536
  exprtadef2 |  -4.92e-06   4.83e-06    -1.02   0.308    -.0000144    4.55e-06
  expwtodef2 |  -.0002976   .0005741    -0.52   0.604    -.0014227    .0008276
  gdpratio_1 |   .0460603   .0576952     0.80   0.425    -.0670203    .1591409
   xdepcom_1 |   .0017641   .0007112     2.48   0.013     .0003703     .003158
    countrta |   .0261847   .0216089     1.21   0.226     -.016168    .0685374
  poli2com_1 |  -.0020802   .0031735    -0.66   0.512    -.0083002    .0041397
  poli2res_1 |    .008949   .0046222     1.94   0.053    -.0001103    .0180082
lgdppc00co~1 |   .0351311   .0173839     2.02   0.043     .0010593    .0692029
  lsxafcom_1 |   .0518821   .0194644     2.67   0.008     .0137326    .0900316
    exprsxaf |  -2.81e-06   5.32e-06    -0.53   0.597    -.0000132    7.62e-06
    exprgdpr |  -.0004882   .0003172    -1.54   0.124    -.0011099    .0001334
    gdprsxaf |  -.0022574   .0013933    -1.62   0.105    -.0049882    .0004734
     bandrta |   .0009359   .0007987     1.17   0.241    -.0006295    .0025012
         can |   .2359222   .0397109     5.94   0.000     .1580902    .3137542
    mercosur |   .2891162   .0531325     5.44   0.000     .1849783    .3932541
         d97 |  -.0336824   .0286287    -1.18   0.239    -.0897936    .0224287
         d98 |  -.1209612   .0354652    -3.41   0.001    -.1904717   -.0514507
         d99 |   .0041924   .0272678     0.15   0.878    -.0492514    .0576363
         d00 |  -.0039014   .0285959    -0.14   0.891    -.0599483    .0521455
         d01 |   .0126415   .0214326     0.59   0.555    -.0293657    .0546486
         d02 |  -.0247104   .0311136    -0.79   0.427     -.085692    .0362711
         d03 |  -.0110775   .0280537    -0.39   0.693    -.0660618    .0439068
         d04 |  -.0170629   .0323989    -0.53   0.598    -.0805634    .0464377
         d05 |  -.0937194   .0378898    -2.47   0.013     -.167982   -.0194569
         d06 |  -.1534553   .0546091    -2.81   0.005    -.2604871   -.0464234
         d07 |  -.1604576   .0426814    -3.76   0.000    -.2441116   -.0768036
         d08 |  -.0832639   .0501192    -1.66   0.097    -.1814957    .0149679
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. xtprobit disprta exprtadef expwtodef exprtadef2 expwtodef2 gdpratio_1 xdepcom_1 countrta poli2com_1 poli2res_1 lgdppc00com_1 lsxafcom_1 exprsxaf exprgdpr gdprsxaf bandrta can mer
> cosur d97-d08, pa corr(ar1) robust force

Iteration 1: tolerance = .1105947
Iteration 2: tolerance = .00570215
Iteration 3: tolerance = .00147279
Iteration 4: tolerance = .00024921
Iteration 5: tolerance = .00006739
Iteration 6: tolerance = .00001982
Iteration 7: tolerance = 5.629e-06
Iteration 8: tolerance = 1.627e-06
Iteration 9: tolerance = 4.668e-07

GEE population-averaged model                   Number of obs      =      1161
Group and time vars:               cr year      Number of groups   =        90
Link:                               probit      Obs per group: min =        12
Family:                           binomial                     avg =      12.9
Correlation:                         AR(1)                     max =        13
                                                Wald chi2(29)      =    857.78
Scale parameter:                         1      Prob > chi2        =    0.0000

                                     (Std. Err. adjusted for clustering on cr)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |             Semirobust
     disprta |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
   exprtadef |     .01628   .0078857     2.06   0.039     .0008244    .0317356
   expwtodef |   .0977197   .0701442     1.39   0.164    -.0397604    .2351999
  exprtadef2 |  -.0000468   .0000425    -1.10   0.271    -.0001302    .0000365
  expwtodef2 |  -.0028319   .0057007    -0.50   0.619    -.0140051    .0083413
  gdpratio_1 |   .4383563   .5545915     0.79   0.429    -.6486232    1.525336
   xdepcom_1 |   .0167892   .0073886     2.27   0.023     .0023078    .0312706
    countrta |   .2491995   .1816426     1.37   0.170    -.1068136    .6052125
  poli2com_1 |  -.0197977   .0293612    -0.67   0.500    -.0773445    .0377492
  poli2res_1 |   .0851674   .0326103     2.61   0.009     .0212524    .1490824
lgdppc00co~1 |   .3343431   .1645304     2.03   0.042     .0118694    .6568167
  lsxafcom_1 |   .4937617    .168937     2.92   0.003     .1626512    .8248723
    exprsxaf |  -.0000267   .0000503    -0.53   0.595    -.0001254    .0000719
    exprgdpr |  -.0046465   .0029659    -1.57   0.117    -.0104595    .0011664
    gdprsxaf |  -.0214836   .0124664    -1.72   0.085    -.0459173    .0029501
     bandrta |   .0089066   .0082149     1.08   0.278    -.0071943    .0250074
         can |   2.245273   .3073884     7.30   0.000     1.642802    2.847743
    mercosur |    2.75152   .3405376     8.08   0.000     2.084079    3.418962
         d97 |  -.3205559   .2721652    -1.18   0.239    -.8539899     .212878
         d98 |  -1.151188   .2703322    -4.26   0.000     -1.68103   -.6213469
         d99 |   .0398994    .259043     0.15   0.878    -.4678154    .5476143
         d00 |  -.0371294   .2735336    -0.14   0.892    -.5732455    .4989866
         d01 |   .1203088   .2097772     0.57   0.566     -.290847    .5314645
         d02 |  -.2351691   .2918766    -0.81   0.420    -.8072367    .3368986
         d03 |  -.1054244   .2645071    -0.40   0.690    -.6238489    .4130001
         d04 |  -.1623872   .3041429    -0.53   0.593    -.7584964    .4337219
         d05 |  -.8919283   .3015159    -2.96   0.003    -1.482889   -.3009681
         d06 |  -1.460434   .4300445    -3.40   0.001    -2.303306   -.6175625
         d07 |  -1.527076   .3952828    -3.86   0.000    -2.301816   -.7523358
         d08 |  -.7924229    .517054    -1.53   0.125     -1.80583    .2209843
       _cons |  -7.306585   1.647451    -4.44   0.000    -10.53553   -4.077641
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. outreg2 using resdyads96final, ctitle(disprta) bdec(3) coefastr se append
dir : seeout

. xtprobit disprta exprtadef expwtodef exprtadef2 expwtodef2 gdpratio_1 xdepcom_1 countrta poli2com_1 poli2res_1 lgdppc00com_1 lsxafcom_1 exprsxaf exprgdpr gdprsxaf bandrta can mer
> cosur d97-d08, re

Fitting comparison model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -557.79004  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -283.44963  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood =  -259.1853  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -258.20322  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -258.20175  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -258.20175  

Fitting full model:

rho =  0.0     log likelihood = -258.20175
rho =  0.1     log likelihood = -256.06084
rho =  0.2     log likelihood = -257.79626

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -256.06084  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -254.84065  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -254.83055  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -254.83055  

Random-effects probit regression                Number of obs      =      1161
Group variable: cr                              Number of groups   =        90

Random effects u_i ~ Gaussian                   Obs per group: min =        12
                                                               avg =      12.9
                                                               max =        13

                                                Wald chi2(29)      =    174.33
Log likelihood  = -254.83055                    Prob > chi2        =    0.0000

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
     disprta |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
   exprtadef |   .0169111   .0072975     2.32   0.020     .0026082    .0312139
   expwtodef |   .1185628   .0863736     1.37   0.170    -.0507262    .2878519
  exprtadef2 |  -.0000458   .0000372    -1.23   0.219    -.0001188    .0000272
  expwtodef2 |   -.004442   .0065016    -0.68   0.494    -.0171849    .0083009
  gdpratio_1 |   .1958514   .7695239     0.25   0.799    -1.312388    1.704091
   xdepcom_1 |   .0167695    .018227     0.92   0.358    -.0189548    .0524937
    countrta |   .3030958   .1762569     1.72   0.086    -.0423614     .648553
  poli2com_1 |   .0055171   .0430858     0.13   0.898    -.0789295    .0899636
  poli2res_1 |   .0865966   .0431775     2.01   0.045     .0019702     .171223
lgdppc00co~1 |   .3612619   .2181938     1.66   0.098    -.0663901    .7889139
  lsxafcom_1 |   .4992596   .1856124     2.69   0.007     .1354659    .8630533
    exprsxaf |  -.0000468   .0000571    -0.82   0.413    -.0001588    .0000652
    exprgdpr |  -.0048585   .0031457    -1.54   0.122     -.011024     .001307
    gdprsxaf |   -.013507   .0155298    -0.87   0.384    -.0439448    .0169308
     bandrta |   .0102475   .0103499     0.99   0.322     -.010038     .030533
         can |   2.498101   .3209488     7.78   0.000     1.869053     3.12715
    mercosur |   3.062811   .3550018     8.63   0.000      2.36702    3.758601
         d97 |  -.3624949   .3399237    -1.07   0.286    -1.028733    .3037433
         d98 |  -1.260812   .3924493    -3.21   0.001    -2.029999   -.4916258
         d99 |   .0517141   .3313375     0.16   0.876    -.5976955    .7011237
         d00 |  -.0273132     .34635    -0.08   0.937    -.7061466    .6515203
         d01 |   .1883154   .3593242     0.52   0.600    -.5159471    .8925778
         d02 |  -.2424118   .3625475    -0.67   0.504    -.9529918    .4681682
         d03 |  -.0780155   .3767379    -0.21   0.836    -.8164083    .6603773
         d04 |  -.1457032   .3844483    -0.38   0.705    -.8992081    .6078016
         d05 |   -.937501   .4104118    -2.28   0.022    -1.741893   -.1331086
         d06 |   -1.55179   .4480291    -3.46   0.001    -2.429911   -.6736691
         d07 |  -1.673536   .4777393    -3.50   0.000    -2.609888    -.737184
         d08 |  -.8410425   .4270843    -1.97   0.049    -1.678112   -.0039727
       _cons |  -7.985397   2.100102    -3.80   0.000    -12.10152   -3.869272
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
    /lnsig2u |  -1.649037   .6060408                     -2.836856   -.4612193
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
     sigma_u |   .4384459   .1328581                      .2420943    .7940494
         rho |   .1612391   .0819616                      .0553648    .3866966
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Likelihood-ratio test of rho=0: chibar2(01) =     6.74 Prob >= chibar2 = 0.005

. outreg2 using resdyads96final, ctitle(disprta) bdec(3) coefastr se append
dir : seeout

. 
. log close
      name:  <unnamed>
       log:  /Users/andrea/Documents/DSM/INITIATION/resultsinidyadspoli2.log
  log type:  text
 closed on:  11 Jan 2012, 23:29:02
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
